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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-0.04+2.38vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-1.22+3.51vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.72+1.54vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.49-1.43vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.28-2.15vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.21-0.74vs Predicted
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7Hillsdale College-0.74-2.46vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-3.27-0.25vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-4.49-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38University of Notre Dame-0.040.2%1st Place
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5.51University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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4.54University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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2.57Marquette University0.490.3%1st Place
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2.85University of Michigan0.280.3%1st Place
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5.26Marquette University-1.210.1%1st Place
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4.54Hillsdale College-0.740.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Notre Dame-3.270.0%1st Place
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8.6Ohio State University-4.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Frentzel | 17.8% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 20.9% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kristen Ruta | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 26.1% | 10.2% | 1.0% |
| Max Ellsworth | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 29.4% | 26.1% | 19.8% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Youtt | 26.5% | 22.6% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Higgins | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 20.2% | 25.5% | 6.9% | 0.5% |
| Maggie Ryland | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 14.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doyle | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 9.4% | 57.5% | 22.5% |
| Grant Tyson | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 17.6% | 75.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.