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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-0.04+2.43vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-1.22+3.53vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.72+1.55vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.21+1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.28-2.15vs Predicted
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6Hillsdale College-0.74-1.49vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.49-4.41vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-3.27-0.25vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-4.49-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of Notre Dame-0.040.2%1st Place
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5.53University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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4.55University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.19Marquette University-1.210.1%1st Place
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2.85University of Michigan0.280.3%1st Place
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4.51Hillsdale College-0.740.1%1st Place
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2.59Marquette University0.490.3%1st Place
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7.75University of Notre Dame-3.270.0%1st Place
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8.61Ohio State University-4.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Frentzel | 16.4% | 19.9% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristen Ruta | 3.9% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 21.8% | 26.8% | 9.9% | 0.9% |
| Max Ellsworth | 7.8% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Colin Higgins | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 25.6% | 6.8% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Youtt | 26.4% | 24.1% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Ryland | 8.7% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 30.4% | 24.4% | 19.1% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doyle | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 57.8% | 22.4% |
| Grant Tyson | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 18.0% | 76.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.