← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Notre Dame0.45+1.73vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan0.28+1.04vs Predicted
-
3Hillsdale College-0.74+1.58vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University-1.21+1.30vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan-0.72-0.42vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University0.49-3.30vs Predicted
-
7University of Toledo-1.22-1.65vs Predicted
-
8University of Notre Dame-3.82-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.73University of Notre Dame0.450.3%1st Place
-
3.04University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
-
4.58Hillsdale College-0.740.1%1st Place
-
5.3Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
-
4.58University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
-
2.7Marquette University0.490.3%1st Place
-
5.35University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
-
7.73University of Notre Dame-3.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Pillari | 27.4% | 22.3% | 22.3% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Youtt | 21.1% | 21.5% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Ryland | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 19.7% | 15.9% | 1.3% |
| Colin Higgins | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 21.0% | 29.1% | 4.3% |
| Max Ellsworth | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 20.1% | 15.3% | 1.3% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 26.1% | 25.5% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kristen Ruta | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 21.3% | 31.3% | 4.2% |
| Bridget Slandzicki | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 88.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.