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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.28+1.94vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.45+0.78vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.21+2.30vs Predicted
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4Hillsdale College-0.74+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.72-0.42vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-1.22-0.73vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.49-4.24vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-3.82-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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2.78University of Notre Dame0.450.3%1st Place
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5.3Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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4.62Hillsdale College-0.740.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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2.76Marquette University0.490.3%1st Place
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7.74University of Notre Dame-3.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Youtt | 23.2% | 23.3% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Peter Pillari | 25.2% | 24.0% | 20.1% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Higgins | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 23.1% | 29.5% | 4.5% |
| Maggie Ryland | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 21.2% | 14.7% | 1.7% |
| Max Ellsworth | 6.9% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 1.2% |
| Kristen Ruta | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 20.2% | 29.4% | 4.4% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 27.5% | 22.6% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Slandzicki | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 88.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.