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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.08+9.50vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+6.02vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.86+8.50vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.92+6.79vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.29+4.32vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92+0.79vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.79+0.31vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.22+1.54vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.43-4.10vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.50-1.19vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.00-0.21vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.65+0.39vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.21+0.49vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.68-6.47vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-4.22vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.29-6.51vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-7.45vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.23-8.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.5Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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8.02Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.79Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.31Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.54College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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4.9Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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8.81Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.79Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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12.39Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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13.49Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.53Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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10.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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9.49University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.49Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Richartz | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% |
| Haley Powell | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Corey Hall | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Anne Haeger | 15.1% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 15.9% |
| Erica Lush | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 27.9% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.