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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.71vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.68+3.27vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.48+2.81vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.42+5.50vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+4.17vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.32+1.96vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.37+6.65vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+0.59vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.79-0.63vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.85+2.17vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.26-0.77vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.13+2.01vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.89-1.65vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.42-7.88vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.39-8.56vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute-0.08-1.11vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-8.87vs Predicted
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18George Washington University0.70-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.329.2%1st Place
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5.27Tulane University2.6813.5%1st Place
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5.81Harvard University2.4810.9%1st Place
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9.5University of Rhode Island1.423.8%1st Place
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9.17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.794.8%1st Place
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7.96University of Miami2.327.0%1st Place
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13.65Florida State University0.371.6%1st Place
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8.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.584.8%1st Place
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8.37Cornell University1.796.3%1st Place
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12.17Eckerd College0.851.7%1st Place
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10.23Old Dominion University1.264.0%1st Place
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14.01University of Wisconsin0.130.9%1st Place
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11.35Connecticut College0.893.0%1st Place
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6.12Georgetown University2.4210.6%1st Place
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6.44Dartmouth College2.398.8%1st Place
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14.89Webb Institute-0.080.9%1st Place
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8.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.356.6%1st Place
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12.63George Washington University0.701.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 17.4% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 22.6% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 4.8% |
| Enzo Menditto | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marc Leyk | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 34.5% |
| Jasper Reid | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.