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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.49+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.72+2.53vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.28-0.10vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.21+1.25vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College-0.74-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.04-2.65vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-1.22-1.69vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-3.27-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Marquette University0.490.3%1st Place
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4.53University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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2.9University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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5.25Marquette University-1.210.1%1st Place
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4.55Hillsdale College-0.740.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Notre Dame-0.040.2%1st Place
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5.31University of Toledo-1.220.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Notre Dame-3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Dworsky | 31.8% | 25.0% | 19.2% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Ellsworth | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 14.0% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Youtt | 23.7% | 22.5% | 20.7% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Colin Higgins | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 20.7% | 26.6% | 6.5% |
| Maggie Ryland | 7.3% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 20.5% | 14.3% | 2.1% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 17.4% | 19.4% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Kristen Ruta | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 28.8% | 6.5% |
| Emily Doyle | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 8.7% | 81.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.