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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-1.21+4.25vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.28+0.93vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.49-0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-1.22+1.29vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College-0.74-0.40vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.72-1.51vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-3.27+0.53vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.04-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Marquette University-1.210.1%1st Place
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2.93University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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2.6Marquette University0.490.3%1st Place
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5.29University of Toledo-1.220.1%1st Place
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4.6Hillsdale College-0.740.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Notre Dame-3.270.0%1st Place
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3.31University of Notre Dame-0.040.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Higgins | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 21.9% | 26.7% | 6.2% |
| Sarah Youtt | 23.9% | 22.1% | 19.7% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 30.2% | 25.4% | 18.9% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kristen Ruta | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 19.9% | 27.7% | 6.9% |
| Maggie Ryland | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 2.9% |
| Max Ellsworth | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 13.4% | 2.5% |
| Emily Doyle | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 9.3% | 80.7% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 18.1% | 18.1% | 21.7% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.