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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.45+1.74vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College-0.74+2.62vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.280.00vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.21+1.31vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-1.22+0.33vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.49-3.32vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.72-2.41vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-3.82-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74University of Notre Dame0.450.3%1st Place
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4.62Hillsdale College-0.740.1%1st Place
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3.0University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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5.31Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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2.68Marquette University0.490.3%1st Place
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4.59University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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7.73University of Notre Dame-3.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Pillari | 27.2% | 23.9% | 20.0% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Maggie Ryland | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Youtt | 21.4% | 21.2% | 21.2% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Colin Higgins | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 21.6% | 29.6% | 4.3% |
| Kristen Ruta | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 22.8% | 29.9% | 3.6% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 26.9% | 25.5% | 19.9% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Max Ellsworth | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 21.6% | 14.9% | 1.6% |
| Bridget Slandzicki | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 88.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.