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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.45+1.74vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-1.22+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.28-0.01vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.72+0.59vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College-0.74-0.41vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.49-3.32vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.21-1.68vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-3.82-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74University of Notre Dame0.450.3%1st Place
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5.36University of Toledo-1.220.1%1st Place
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2.99University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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4.59University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.59Hillsdale College-0.740.1%1st Place
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2.68Marquette University0.490.3%1st Place
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5.32Marquette University-1.210.1%1st Place
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7.73University of Notre Dame-3.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Pillari | 26.9% | 24.4% | 19.4% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Kristen Ruta | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 21.6% | 29.8% | 5.1% |
| Sarah Youtt | 21.5% | 21.5% | 20.7% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Max Ellsworth | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 20.6% | 15.2% | 1.3% |
| Maggie Ryland | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 20.9% | 14.5% | 1.1% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 27.1% | 24.5% | 21.5% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Colin Higgins | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 22.2% | 30.2% | 4.1% |
| Bridget Slandzicki | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 88.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.