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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.53+1.86vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.47+5.22vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.59+3.98vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59+2.98vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.55vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.08-0.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-2.70vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59-5.28vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.80-2.58vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.26-1.09vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute0.81-4.60vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-1.17-1.35vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.36-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
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7.22Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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6.98Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.98Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.55SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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5.84Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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2.72SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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6.42Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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8.91William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.4Webb Institute0.810.1%1st Place
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10.65North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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9.16Webb Institute-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 26.0% | 23.4% | 20.4% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Devin Keister | 13.3% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 30.4% | 22.7% | 20.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Powers | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 18.0% | 55.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bidwell | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 24.5% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.