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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.53+1.86vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.59+5.05vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.47+4.44vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.08+1.88vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.42vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute0.81+0.46vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.29vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.80-1.50vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.59-1.95vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-5.61vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.26-1.92vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.36-2.83vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-1.17-2.05vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-2.06-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
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7.05Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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7.44Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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5.88Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.42SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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6.46Webb Institute0.810.0%1st Place
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2.71SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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6.5Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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7.05Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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4.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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9.08William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.17Webb Institute-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.95North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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12.08Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 26.8% | 24.3% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 30.0% | 25.2% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Devin Keister | 11.6% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Powers | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 15.9% | 19.9% | 14.7% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bidwell | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 15.6% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 34.9% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| David Stude | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 20.3% | 62.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.