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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.53+1.89vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.72vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.47+4.36vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59+3.00vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.59+2.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-1.68vs Predicted
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7Hampton University1.08-1.18vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.79-1.54vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.80-2.60vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute0.81-3.71vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.36-1.93vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.26-2.93vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-1.17-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
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2.72SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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7.36Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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7.0Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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7.0Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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4.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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5.82Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.46SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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6.4Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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6.29Webb Institute0.810.0%1st Place
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9.07Webb Institute-0.360.0%1st Place
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9.07William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.61North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 25.5% | 22.9% | 21.0% | 14.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 30.2% | 24.8% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Devin Keister | 12.4% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bidwell | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 23.5% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Powers | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 20.6% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 20.0% | 52.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.