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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.53+1.85vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.08+3.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74+1.32vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.22vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.47+2.18vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute0.81+0.34vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.80-0.65vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.17+2.66vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.59-1.98vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.79-3.57vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.36-1.98vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.59-4.98vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-2.06-1.02vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.81-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
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5.83Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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2.78SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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7.18Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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6.34Webb Institute0.810.0%1st Place
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6.35Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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10.66North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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7.02Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.43SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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9.02Webb Institute-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.02Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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11.98Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
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10.24William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 26.9% | 24.2% | 18.7% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devin Keister | 11.3% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 27.9% | 26.1% | 17.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 18.7% | 30.7% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bidwell | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Stude | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 16.6% | 61.5% | 0.0% |
| Nina Willms | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 21.5% | 27.1% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.