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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.81+7.61vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida4.17+5.17vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.49+3.13vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.50+5.87vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.78+4.01vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.29+8.32vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.00+4.98vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.26+3.12vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.05-4.80vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.50-4.17vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.56-1.36vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.74-6.63vs Predicted
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13University of Washington1.80+2.78vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.37-3.44vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.03-3.33vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.99-4.16vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.85-4.56vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.64-4.76vs Predicted
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19Stanford University3.07-7.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61Tufts University3.810.0%1st Place
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7.17University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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6.13Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Miami3.500.0%1st Place
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9.01College of Charleston3.780.0%1st Place
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14.32Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.98SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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11.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.260.0%1st Place
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4.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.050.2%1st Place
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5.83Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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9.64Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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5.37Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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15.78University of Washington1.800.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Vermont3.370.0%1st Place
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11.67Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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11.84U. S. Naval Academy2.990.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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13.24Yale University2.640.0%1st Place
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11.22Stanford University3.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Criezis | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Marks | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Fred Strammer | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Weiksnar | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Erik Bowers | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 21.1% |
| Ted Green | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| Gordon Lamphere | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| John Booth | 19.6% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tedd Himler | 11.1% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Wilder | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 16.5% | 37.3% |
| Pete Hazelett | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Collin Leon | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| George Prieto | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Andrew Fox | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
| John Vrolyk | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 8.7% |
| Oliver Riihiluoma | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.