← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University1.86+2.22vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University1.61+0.90vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University0.54+1.73vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy1.18+0.06vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-0.40vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.85-1.79vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University1.07-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.22Georgetown University1.8619.8%1st Place
-
2.9Old Dominion University1.6126.6%1st Place
-
4.73Georgetown University0.548.3%1st Place
-
4.06U. S. Naval Academy1.1813.4%1st Place
-
4.6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.679.3%1st Place
-
4.21St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8511.9%1st Place
-
4.28George Washington University1.0710.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 19.8% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Esther Ireland | 26.6% | 22.9% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Alexa Shea | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 25.5% |
| Ava Farley | 13.4% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 13.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 22.7% |
| Maisy Sperry | 11.9% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 14.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.