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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.67+6.98vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+7.95vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.79+4.50vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+0.95vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.68+2.68vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.39vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50+1.51vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.08+2.21vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.92+1.98vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.86+1.39vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.92-4.11vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.29-2.24vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-2.32vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.22-4.66vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.65-2.97vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.21-2.21vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.29-7.45vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College3.00-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.95Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.5Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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4.95Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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7.68Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.51Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.21Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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10.98Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.76University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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10.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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9.34College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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12.03Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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13.79Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.55Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.43Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Anne Haeger | 15.4% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Eliza Richartz | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
| Haley Powell | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
| Corey Hall | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 13.1% |
| Erica Lush | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 30.7% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.