← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+7.97vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.39+4.49vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.48+2.98vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.68+1.32vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami2.32+2.86vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+2.68vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.42+2.28vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.21vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University1.26+1.14vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-1.61vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College0.85+0.99vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University2.42-5.89vs Predicted
-
13University of Wisconsin0.13+1.09vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University1.79-5.64vs Predicted
-
15Florida State University0.37-1.24vs Predicted
-
16Webb Institute-0.08-1.16vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University0.70-4.69vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College0.89-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.97St. Mary's College of Maryland1.795.0%1st Place
-
6.49Dartmouth College2.399.1%1st Place
-
5.98Harvard University2.4811.6%1st Place
-
5.32Tulane University2.6815.0%1st Place
-
7.86University of Miami2.326.8%1st Place
-
8.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.585.2%1st Place
-
9.28University of Rhode Island1.424.0%1st Place
-
6.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.5%1st Place
-
10.14Old Dominion University1.264.0%1st Place
-
8.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.355.9%1st Place
-
11.99Eckerd College0.852.4%1st Place
-
6.11Georgetown University2.429.8%1st Place
-
14.09University of Wisconsin0.130.8%1st Place
-
8.36Cornell University1.795.5%1st Place
-
13.76Florida State University0.371.2%1st Place
-
14.84Webb Institute-0.080.6%1st Place
-
12.31George Washington University0.701.7%1st Place
-
11.62Connecticut College0.892.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Cormie | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 15.0% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Jasper Reid | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 7.8% |
| Enzo Menditto | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 22.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 17.6% |
| Marc Leyk | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 18.2% | 32.6% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.8% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.