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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.53+1.84vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.70vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.08+2.77vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.80+2.46vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.47+2.20vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-1.77vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.59-0.21vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.59-1.21vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute0.81-2.68vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.79-3.68vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-1.17-0.66vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.36-2.88vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.81-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
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2.7SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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5.77Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.46Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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7.2Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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4.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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6.79Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.79Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.32Webb Institute0.810.1%1st Place
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6.32SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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10.34North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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9.12Webb Institute-0.360.0%1st Place
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9.92William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 25.6% | 24.1% | 21.1% | 13.7% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 29.9% | 25.6% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 7.7% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Devin Keister | 13.1% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 21.4% | 44.9% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bidwell | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 20.6% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Nina Willms | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 28.6% | 28.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.