← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.74vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74+2.25vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech0.59+3.98vs Predicted
-
4Washington College0.80+2.49vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech0.47+2.21vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech0.59+0.98vs Predicted
-
7Webb Institute0.81-0.61vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary-0.81+1.99vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University2.53-6.23vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Stony Brook0.79-3.49vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University-1.17-0.29vs Predicted
-
12Webb Institute-0.36-2.92vs Predicted
-
13Penn State University-2.06-0.99vs Predicted
-
14Hampton University1.08-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.74SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
-
4.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
6.98Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
-
6.49Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
-
7.21Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
-
6.98Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
-
6.39Webb Institute0.810.0%1st Place
-
9.99William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
-
2.77Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
-
6.51SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
-
10.71North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
-
9.08Webb Institute-0.360.0%1st Place
-
12.01Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
-
5.88Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 29.7% | 24.9% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devin Keister | 12.3% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nina Willms | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 21.3% | 25.6% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gower | 27.8% | 23.9% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 20.1% | 30.7% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bidwell | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| David Stude | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 61.8% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.