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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.76vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.53+0.81vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.47+4.22vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute0.81+2.42vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.59+1.85vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.59+0.85vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.80-0.58vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.08-2.37vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.81+0.79vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-5.88vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-1.17-0.61vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook0.79-5.45vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.36-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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2.81Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
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7.22Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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6.42Webb Institute0.810.0%1st Place
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6.85Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.85Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.42Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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5.63Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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9.79William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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4.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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10.39North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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6.55SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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9.05Webb Institute-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 29.4% | 22.4% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gower | 29.3% | 23.0% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 7.2% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nina Willms | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 26.4% | 29.1% | 0.0% |
| Devin Keister | 11.7% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 22.7% | 45.6% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bidwell | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 20.6% | 21.4% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.