Race 2B

maisa-saisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Chase Burwell 43.5% 27.5% 15.0% 7.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 8.0% 9.5% 12.2% 13.8% 15.3% 13.3% 11.8% 7.5% 5.1% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Krzeszowski 14.4% 18.4% 18.8% 16.1% 13.0% 10.0% 5.2% 2.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 13.0% 16.2% 17.6% 16.4% 13.3% 10.5% 6.7% 3.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elisabeth Kuester 7.1% 8.4% 11.7% 11.9% 13.5% 12.2% 13.0% 10.2% 6.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 2.4% 5.2% 4.6% 6.3% 9.4% 10.4% 13.0% 13.6% 12.0% 10.4% 7.8% 4.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Andrew Vernon 5.7% 5.1% 7.2% 8.8% 9.3% 12.9% 12.6% 13.2% 11.8% 6.7% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Audrey Fulk 1.3% 2.3% 1.8% 4.2% 3.2% 6.0% 6.8% 10.5% 10.5% 17.8% 14.3% 14.6% 6.7% 0.0%
Jason Perryman 1.2% 2.6% 2.8% 4.5% 3.9% 5.8% 7.4% 9.8% 14.4% 14.8% 15.1% 11.9% 5.8% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 2.4% 5.2% 4.6% 6.3% 9.4% 10.4% 13.0% 13.6% 12.0% 10.4% 7.8% 4.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Natalie Lovelace 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 2.8% 3.1% 2.4% 3.4% 7.3% 8.5% 13.8% 22.6% 33.0% 0.0%
Declan Gaylo 1.6% 2.6% 3.8% 5.9% 7.0% 7.1% 10.9% 13.4% 13.8% 12.7% 11.3% 7.3% 2.6% 0.0%
Peter Wiley 0.8% 1.2% 2.7% 2.5% 3.8% 5.5% 6.6% 8.6% 10.8% 15.1% 17.5% 14.9% 10.0% 0.0%
victor lu 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.9% 4.0% 5.4% 6.4% 13.1% 22.0% 40.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.