Race 7B

maisa-saisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Chase Burwell 42.0% 28.2% 16.4% 7.9% 3.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 6.9% 10.8% 13.8% 14.9% 14.8% 13.4% 11.3% 7.7% 4.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 14.1% 15.6% 16.9% 18.9% 14.1% 10.2% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 2.7% 4.1% 4.8% 6.6% 9.7% 12.3% 14.6% 13.6% 13.2% 11.7% 5.4% 1.3% 0.0%
Andrew Vernon 3.7% 5.6% 7.9% 8.8% 11.4% 12.6% 14.2% 14.1% 10.8% 6.3% 3.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 2.7% 4.1% 4.8% 6.6% 9.7% 12.3% 14.6% 13.6% 13.2% 11.7% 5.4% 1.3% 0.0%
Adam Krzeszowski 16.7% 18.4% 19.1% 16.6% 11.2% 9.7% 5.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Declan Gaylo 2.6% 3.6% 2.9% 4.4% 7.5% 9.2% 10.3% 14.1% 15.7% 14.9% 10.6% 4.2% 0.0%
Elisabeth Kuester 7.3% 9.0% 11.1% 12.2% 14.9% 12.9% 11.9% 11.1% 6.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Jason Perryman 1.6% 1.9% 2.3% 4.0% 3.6% 8.2% 11.7% 13.8% 15.5% 18.1% 14.4% 4.9% 0.0%
Natalie Lovelace 0.3% 0.6% 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 2.1% 2.7% 6.1% 8.2% 12.6% 23.9% 37.8% 0.0%
Blake Loncharich 1.7% 1.5% 2.3% 2.7% 5.2% 4.9% 8.6% 10.8% 16.8% 18.5% 16.4% 10.6% 0.0%
Tyler Skelton 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 3.2% 2.5% 3.8% 7.8% 13.4% 24.2% 40.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.