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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.26+9.68vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.42+4.16vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.70+9.75vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.12vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.34+1.64vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.48+0.10vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+2.36vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.37+5.96vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.42+0.70vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.30-0.32vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.32-2.51vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.68-6.46vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-4.22vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.79-5.25vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College0.85-2.63vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.13-1.58vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-8.43vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.89-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.68Old Dominion University1.263.4%1st Place
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6.16Georgetown University2.4210.9%1st Place
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12.75George Washington University0.701.8%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.4%1st Place
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6.64Dartmouth College2.3410.5%1st Place
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6.1Harvard University2.4811.8%1st Place
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9.36St. Mary's College of Maryland1.794.2%1st Place
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13.96Florida State University0.371.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Rhode Island1.424.2%1st Place
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9.68Webb Institute1.304.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Miami2.326.0%1st Place
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5.54Tulane University2.6813.4%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.584.2%1st Place
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8.75Cornell University1.795.5%1st Place
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12.37Eckerd College0.852.6%1st Place
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14.42University of Wisconsin0.130.8%1st Place
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8.57University of California at Santa Barbara1.356.1%1st Place
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11.91Connecticut College0.891.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Goodwin | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Enzo Menditto | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 14.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Chase Decker | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 25.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Christian Ebbin | 13.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 29.1% |
| Jasper Reid | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.