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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.67+7.06vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+3.05vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.00+7.94vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.08+6.18vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.92+5.86vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.29+3.46vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.68+0.80vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.79-0.76vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.92-2.30vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+1.08vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.50-2.32vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-2.00vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.22-3.44vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.29-4.95vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.65-2.96vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-6.57vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.86-5.66vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.21-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.05Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.94Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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10.18Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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10.86Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.8Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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7.24Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.7University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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11.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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8.68Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.0Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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9.56College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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9.05University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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12.04Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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13.54Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Anne Haeger | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% |
| Eliza Richartz | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% |
| Haley Powell | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Corey Hall | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% |
| Erica Lush | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.