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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.33+4.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.53+6.47vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.72+4.69vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.75+3.77vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+8.64vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.56+6.55vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.15+12.40vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.11+7.40vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-4.41vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.61+2.20vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.06-0.60vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.74-4.40vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03+6.22vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-6.27vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.97+4.00vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.04-0.85vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-0.41vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay-0.56-0.73vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands0.15-5.02vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-1.53vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.15-1.60vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.03-2.87vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-0.46-6.18vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-15.95vs Predicted
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25Stanford University3.17-21.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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13.64University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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12.55California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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19.4Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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15.4University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.59California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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12.2University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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10.4University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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19.22University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.0%1st Place
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7.73University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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19.0California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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15.15University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
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16.59University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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17.27California State University Monterey Bay-0.560.0%1st Place
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13.98California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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18.47University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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19.4Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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19.13University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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16.82San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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8.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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3.42Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Wong | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 13.7% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Gann | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott Elliott | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 25.8% | 18.3% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.