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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+4.89vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+6.72vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.68+2.42vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+4.81vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.21vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.34+0.76vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+2.33vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.26+2.49vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.00+3.06vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.42-3.90vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.70+1.96vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College0.85+0.33vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.30-3.15vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.42-4.38vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.37-0.97vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.32-7.62vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-8.50vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.13-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Harvard University2.4812.3%1st Place
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8.72Cornell University1.795.1%1st Place
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5.42Tulane University2.6813.8%1st Place
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8.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.586.5%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.5%1st Place
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6.76Dartmouth College2.348.6%1st Place
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9.33St. Mary's College of Maryland1.794.4%1st Place
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10.49Old Dominion University1.263.5%1st Place
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12.06Connecticut College1.002.1%1st Place
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6.1Georgetown University2.4211.3%1st Place
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12.96George Washington University0.701.6%1st Place
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12.33Eckerd College0.851.7%1st Place
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9.85Webb Institute1.303.8%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island1.424.5%1st Place
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14.03Florida State University0.371.3%1st Place
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8.38University of Miami2.325.3%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.355.7%1st Place
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14.53University of Wisconsin0.130.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Christian Ebbin | 13.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Chase Decker | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| William Hurd | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% |
| Enzo Menditto | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 14.4% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 9.5% |
| Everett Botwinick | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 23.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Jasper Reid | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.