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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+4.18vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+6.75vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.22+6.96vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.68+3.65vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+5.72vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+1.79vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+2.66vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.21+5.57vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.08+1.32vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.92-2.98vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.29-1.46vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.00-0.98vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-3.76vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.65-2.25vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.92-4.11vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.29-6.52vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.86-5.64vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.79-10.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.75Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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9.96College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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7.65Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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10.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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7.79Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.66Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.57Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.32Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.02Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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11.75Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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10.89Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.48University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.09Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 13.9% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Corey Hall | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Erica Lush | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 28.6% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 13.2% |
| Haley Powell | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.