← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
39.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.17+2.36vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles0.61+10.16vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley1.53+5.38vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California2.33+1.44vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington1.74+2.54vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California1.75+1.33vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-2.44vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+0.15vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.27vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine1.06+0.15vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California1.72-3.18vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+1.58vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles-0.04+1.96vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-0.44+2.16vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego-0.11+0.29vs Predicted
-
16California State University Monterey Bay0.56-3.62vs Predicted
-
17California State University Channel Islands0.15-2.89vs Predicted
-
18California State University Channel Islands-0.97+0.56vs Predicted
-
19California State University Monterey Bay-0.56-2.41vs Predicted
-
20San Diego State University-0.46-3.56vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-2.87vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego-1.03-3.42vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.36Stanford University3.170.2%1st Place
-
12.16University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
8.38University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
-
5.44University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
-
7.54University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
-
7.33University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
-
4.56California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.2%1st Place
-
8.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
-
7.73University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
-
10.15University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
7.82University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
-
13.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
-
14.96University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
-
16.16University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
-
15.29University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
-
12.38California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
-
14.11California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
18.56California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
16.59California State University Monterey Bay-0.560.0%1st Place
-
16.44San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
18.13University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
18.58University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
-
18.61University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rosenberg | 23.2% | 22.9% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 16.3% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Arjun Boddu | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Ben Gerber | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 17.6% |
| Matthew Elliott Elliott | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% |
| Adam Wild | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 15.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 22.8% |
| David Gann | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.