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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.72+5.29vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.60+4.62vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+2.58vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+1.99vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+2.28vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.23-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.53-0.27vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.88vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.02-0.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.88vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.51-0.28vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+1.49vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.43+5.18vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.09-0.31vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.12-2.15vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay0.14-3.67vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay-1.47+1.48vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-1.94vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.21vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-2.32vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-0.25-7.06vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.35-4.17vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.43-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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6.62Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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5.99California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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7.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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4.64University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.2%1st Place
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6.73University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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10.88University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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8.84University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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9.12University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Southern California0.510.0%1st Place
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13.49University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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18.18Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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13.69University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.85University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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12.33California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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18.48California State University Monterey Bay-1.470.0%1st Place
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16.06University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.79University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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17.68University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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13.94San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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17.83University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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18.18Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Chyz | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keenan Chung | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Clover Stubbert | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.