← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
39.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.23+3.62vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+5.26vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.96+2.56vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California1.72+2.28vs Predicted
-
5California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+0.96vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University1.60+0.62vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.52+3.67vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University-1.43+10.19vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley1.02-0.21vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.93vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles0.12+1.36vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego-0.75+4.09vs Predicted
-
13University of Washington1.53-6.13vs Predicted
-
14University of Southern California0.51-2.75vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-1.25vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Irvine-0.09-2.74vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.69vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-0.43vs Predicted
-
19California State University Monterey Bay-1.47-0.83vs Predicted
-
20California State University Monterey Bay0.14-7.42vs Predicted
-
21San Diego State University-0.25-7.07vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego-1.35-4.16vs Predicted
-
23Arizona State University-1.43-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.2%1st Place
-
7.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
-
5.56University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
-
6.28University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
-
5.96California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
-
6.62Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
-
10.67University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
18.19Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
-
8.79University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
-
9.07University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
-
12.36University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
-
16.09University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
-
6.87University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
-
11.25University of Southern California0.510.0%1st Place
-
13.75University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
-
13.26University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
-
16.31University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
-
17.57University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
-
18.17California State University Monterey Bay-1.470.0%1st Place
-
12.58California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
-
13.93San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
-
17.84University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
-
18.19Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan Chung | 17.6% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Clover Stubbert | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.