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📊 Prediction Accuracy
8.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.23+3.96vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.96+3.83vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.72+3.81vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+2.33vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+4.69vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.52+5.28vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+6.48vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.14+4.90vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.18-3.93vs Predicted
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10Stanford University1.60-3.05vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.53-3.95vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-4.47vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25+4.77vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.02-4.46vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.43+3.49vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+0.13vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.43+1.49vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.12-5.01vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-0.09-5.36vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.94vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay-1.47-2.61vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.35-4.07vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-0.25-8.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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6.33California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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9.69University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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11.28University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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13.48University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.9California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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5.07University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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6.95Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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7.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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17.77University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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9.54University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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18.49Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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16.13University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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18.49Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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12.99University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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13.64University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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16.06University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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18.39California State University Monterey Bay-1.470.0%1st Place
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17.93University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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14.19San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan Chung | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 13.6% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Clover Stubbert | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 21.2% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.