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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.68+4.36vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+6.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.99vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.34+2.80vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.42+1.18vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.30+3.68vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+2.26vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+0.93vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.85+3.32vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.48-3.89vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.32-2.54vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.26-1.37vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.70-0.31vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.00-1.83vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-5.36vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.13-1.35vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.37-3.10vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-9.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Tulane University2.6814.9%1st Place
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8.53Cornell University1.796.3%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.8%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College2.349.4%1st Place
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6.18Georgetown University2.4210.5%1st Place
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9.68Webb Institute1.303.8%1st Place
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9.26St. Mary's College of Maryland1.794.5%1st Place
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8.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.585.1%1st Place
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12.32Eckerd College0.852.1%1st Place
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6.11Harvard University2.489.4%1st Place
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8.46University of Miami2.325.5%1st Place
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10.63Old Dominion University1.263.5%1st Place
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12.69George Washington University0.701.7%1st Place
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12.17Connecticut College1.002.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Rhode Island1.423.9%1st Place
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14.65University of Wisconsin0.130.8%1st Place
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13.9Florida State University0.371.5%1st Place
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8.7University of California at Santa Barbara1.356.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ebbin | 14.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Chase Decker | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.9% |
| William Hurd | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 31.9% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 23.8% |
| Jasper Reid | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.