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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+4.21vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+7.61vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.50+5.70vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.22+5.52vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.68+2.77vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.29+3.40vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.86+4.20vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.23+1.58vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.00+1.64vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.08+0.54vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-3.10vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.29-2.22vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.79-5.83vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.92-3.37vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-4.22vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.65-3.81vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.21-3.17vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.92-11.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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8.7Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.52College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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7.77Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.58Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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10.64Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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10.54Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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7.9Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.78University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.17Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.63Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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12.19Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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13.83Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 14.5% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Corey Hall | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Eliza Richartz | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Haley Powell | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 14.9% |
| Erica Lush | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 30.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.