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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.23+3.66vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+4.83vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.60+3.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.02+4.75vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.96+0.52vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92+3.40vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.72-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.51+2.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+4.11vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-4.07vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.14+1.15vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.52-1.20vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-5.83vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+1.85vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.12-2.79vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.09-2.85vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25+0.16vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.25-3.92vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.28vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.35-2.53vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay-1.47-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.2%1st Place
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6.83University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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6.56Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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8.75University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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9.4University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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6.16University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Southern California0.510.0%1st Place
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13.11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.93California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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12.15California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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10.8University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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7.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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15.85University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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12.21University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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13.15University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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17.16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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14.08San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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15.72University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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17.47University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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17.72California State University Monterey Bay-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan Chung | 16.2% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 9.4% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 12.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Liam Hood | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 8.7% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 19.2% | 20.2% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 24.7% |
| Clover Stubbert | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 13.7% | 18.2% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.