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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+5.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.23+2.67vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+2.90vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.96+1.41vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.51+5.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.02+3.01vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.60-0.45vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.99vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.14+3.27vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.52+0.78vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+2.11vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-4.72vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.09+0.27vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.12-1.64vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+0.65vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.75-0.47vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25+0.11vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay-1.470.00vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.35-1.51vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-0.25-6.18vs Predicted
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21University of Southern California1.72-14.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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4.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.2%1st Place
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5.9California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Southern California0.510.0%1st Place
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9.01University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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6.55Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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8.99University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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12.27California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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13.11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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13.27University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.36University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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15.65University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.53University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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17.11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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18.0California State University Monterey Bay-1.470.0%1st Place
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17.49University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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13.82San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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6.01University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keenan Chung | 15.6% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 11.7% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Cole Fargo | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Liam Hood | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 9.4% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 7.5% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 19.9% |
| Clover Stubbert | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 31.5% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 23.5% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Paul Chyz | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.