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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.02+7.81vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+4.93vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.23+1.59vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+1.84vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.51+5.90vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.96-0.46vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.72-0.81vs Predicted
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8Stanford University1.60-1.57vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+4.10vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.52+0.79vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-3.87vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.14+0.38vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.92-3.81vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.09-0.84vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.12-2.85vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.20vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.25-3.25vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-0.60vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.28vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.35-2.52vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay-1.47-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.81University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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6.93University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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4.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.1%1st Place
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5.84California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Southern California0.510.0%1st Place
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5.54University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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6.43Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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13.1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.79University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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7.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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12.38California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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9.19University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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13.16University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.15University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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15.8University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.75San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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17.4University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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15.72University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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17.48University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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17.69California State University Monterey Bay-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Fargo | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keenan Chung | 14.6% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Grace Yakutis | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Liam Hood | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Leah Ford | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.1% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 22.7% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 8.8% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 23.9% |
| Clover Stubbert | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.