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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.79+1.29vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.44+0.73vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+2.38vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina0.47+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-0.98vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia0.85-2.37vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.75-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29College of Charleston1.790.4%1st Place
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2.73North Carolina State University1.440.2%1st Place
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5.38University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.380.0%1st Place
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4.2University of South Carolina0.470.1%1st Place
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4.02University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Georgia0.850.1%1st Place
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5.75North Carolina State University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Whitmore | 37.2% | 26.5% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Travis Tucker | 24.4% | 26.1% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Robert Williams | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 27.5% | 32.4% |
| Christopher Chaplin | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 22.5% | 18.4% | 7.8% |
| Alex Jones | 9.5% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 6.7% |
| Allison Chenard | 12.6% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 11.3% | 3.4% |
| James Robertson | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 20.7% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.