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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.79+1.27vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina0.47+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+2.40vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.44-1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia0.85-1.32vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-2.03vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.75-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27College of Charleston1.790.4%1st Place
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4.12University of South Carolina0.470.1%1st Place
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5.4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.380.0%1st Place
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2.81North Carolina State University1.440.2%1st Place
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3.68University of Georgia0.850.1%1st Place
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3.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.1%1st Place
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5.74North Carolina State University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Whitmore | 38.6% | 25.1% | 17.5% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Chaplin | 8.6% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 19.7% | 19.9% | 17.5% | 7.2% |
| Robert Williams | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 15.2% | 27.5% | 33.4% |
| Travis Tucker | 23.5% | 24.5% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Allison Chenard | 11.2% | 17.1% | 19.3% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 4.3% |
| Alex Jones | 10.4% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 21.1% | 14.6% | 6.6% |
| James Robertson | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 22.2% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.