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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.17+0.68vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69+4.13vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66+0.34vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina0.31-0.21vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.33-2.41vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-0.63-1.00vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.15-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68College of Charleston2.170.6%1st Place
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6.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
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3.34University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.1%1st Place
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3.79University of South Carolina0.310.1%1st Place
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2.59North Carolina State University1.330.2%1st Place
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5.0University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
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5.47North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Simon | 55.4% | 27.5% | 12.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 55.9% |
| Graham Shivers | 10.0% | 18.8% | 25.5% | 26.1% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Keara Paquette | 7.3% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 26.5% | 22.2% | 8.9% | 2.3% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 21.0% | 32.4% | 24.2% | 14.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 3.2% | 4.1% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 27.1% | 28.0% | 14.5% |
| Adam Augustine | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 18.2% | 34.4% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.