← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.42+8.71vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami2.32+6.18vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University2.68+2.57vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University1.79+4.73vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.34+1.63vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.96vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.26+3.51vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+1.19vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.42-2.92vs Predicted
-
10Webb Institute1.30-0.24vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-2.28vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-3.12vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.48-6.96vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College1.00-1.86vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University0.70-2.04vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin0.13-1.53vs Predicted
-
17Florida State University0.37-2.97vs Predicted
-
18Eckerd College0.85-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.71University of Rhode Island1.424.2%1st Place
-
8.18University of Miami2.326.2%1st Place
-
5.57Tulane University2.6812.8%1st Place
-
8.73Cornell University1.795.4%1st Place
-
6.63Dartmouth College2.3410.0%1st Place
-
6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.329.5%1st Place
-
10.51Old Dominion University1.263.4%1st Place
-
9.19St. Mary's College of Maryland1.794.0%1st Place
-
6.08Georgetown University2.4210.4%1st Place
-
9.76Webb Institute1.303.8%1st Place
-
8.72University of California at Santa Barbara1.355.9%1st Place
-
8.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.585.1%1st Place
-
6.04Harvard University2.4811.1%1st Place
-
12.14Connecticut College1.002.5%1st Place
-
12.96George Washington University0.701.4%1st Place
-
14.47University of Wisconsin0.131.7%1st Place
-
14.03Florida State University0.371.1%1st Place
-
12.45Eckerd College0.851.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nash | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Christian Ebbin | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Chase Decker | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Enzo Menditto | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Jasper Reid | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Hurd | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 8.8% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 13.5% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 31.6% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 25.2% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.