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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+3.66vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.00+8.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.29+6.00vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+4.21vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.08+4.65vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+1.67vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.79+0.03vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.22+1.13vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23+0.41vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.92-3.56vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.92-0.37vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-3.06vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.68-5.44vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.21-0.81vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.86-4.25vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.29-6.94vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.65-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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10.11Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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9.0Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.21Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.65Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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7.67Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.03Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.13College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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9.41Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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10.63Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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7.56Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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13.19Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.06University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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11.57Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 19.1% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 5.7% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Corey Hall | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Haley Powell | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Erica Lush | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 30.3% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.