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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.17+0.73vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66+1.31vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.33-0.48vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina0.31-0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-0.63-0.02vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.15-0.40vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73College of Charleston2.170.5%1st Place
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3.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.1%1st Place
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2.52North Carolina State University1.330.2%1st Place
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3.8University of South Carolina0.310.1%1st Place
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4.98University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
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5.6North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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6.07University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Simon | 53.2% | 28.1% | 12.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Graham Shivers | 11.2% | 18.5% | 25.6% | 25.1% | 13.0% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 22.2% | 32.0% | 25.6% | 13.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Keara Paquette | 7.5% | 11.4% | 21.6% | 26.3% | 21.3% | 10.0% | 1.9% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 2.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 15.5% | 28.1% | 27.0% | 14.2% |
| Adam Augustine | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 21.1% | 31.7% | 29.6% |
| Taylor Wood | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 10.5% | 23.8% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.