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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.17+0.78vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina0.31+1.93vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.33-0.41vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66-0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-0.63+0.24vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.15-0.15vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.66-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78College of Charleston2.170.5%1st Place
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3.93University of South Carolina0.310.1%1st Place
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2.59North Carolina State University1.330.2%1st Place
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3.46University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
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5.85North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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5.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Simon | 52.0% | 27.8% | 13.0% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Keara Paquette | 7.6% | 11.5% | 19.2% | 25.3% | 19.3% | 12.5% | 4.6% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 21.5% | 31.9% | 23.9% | 14.1% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Graham Shivers | 11.0% | 17.1% | 23.5% | 23.2% | 15.6% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 21.0% | 26.2% | 25.2% |
| Adam Augustine | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 22.3% | 46.3% |
| Maria Teresa Felix | 3.5% | 4.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 21.0% | 29.1% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.