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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.08+2.95vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.16+2.00vs Predicted
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3University of Florida1.29+2.72vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.92+0.17vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.53-0.02vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.11-2.13vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.68-2.17vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.40-0.74vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.00-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95University of Miami2.080.2%1st Place
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4.0University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
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4.17Eckerd College1.920.1%1st Place
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4.98University of South Florida1.530.1%1st Place
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3.87Jacksonville University2.110.2%1st Place
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4.83Eckerd College1.680.1%1st Place
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7.26Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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6.21Eckerd College1.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Thompson | 16.7% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Preston Senior | 14.9% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| David Beaudry | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 12.8% |
| Josh Temko | 14.4% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Christian Koules | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 8.5% |
| Samuel Baker | 17.0% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Peterson | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 5.8% |
| Kurban Ali | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 16.9% | 45.9% |
| Caroline Puckette | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.