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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.05vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.42+4.13vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.68+2.39vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.48+1.95vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.34+1.81vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+3.47vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+1.87vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.79+0.67vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.32-0.76vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.85+2.70vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.00+0.85vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-3.41vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.26-2.43vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.30-4.19vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-5.36vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.13-1.61vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.37-3.07vs Predicted
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18George Washington University0.70-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.4%1st Place
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6.13Georgetown University2.4210.6%1st Place
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5.39Tulane University2.6813.2%1st Place
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5.95Harvard University2.4812.4%1st Place
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6.81Dartmouth College2.348.3%1st Place
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9.47St. Mary's College of Maryland1.794.3%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.585.2%1st Place
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8.67Cornell University1.795.3%1st Place
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8.24University of Miami2.325.6%1st Place
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12.7Eckerd College0.852.0%1st Place
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11.85Connecticut College1.002.9%1st Place
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8.59University of California at Santa Barbara1.355.9%1st Place
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10.57Old Dominion University1.263.3%1st Place
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9.81Webb Institute1.304.6%1st Place
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9.64University of Rhode Island1.424.0%1st Place
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14.39University of Wisconsin0.131.1%1st Place
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13.93Florida State University0.371.5%1st Place
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12.92George Washington University0.701.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christian Ebbin | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chase Decker | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 11.9% |
| William Hurd | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Jasper Reid | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 18.1% | 28.7% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 26.4% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.