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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+3.65vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+4.45vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.08+6.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+5.01vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.68+2.33vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.22+3.45vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.29+2.05vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67-0.68vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29+0.19vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.92+0.37vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.86-0.15vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.00-1.86vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.50-4.73vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.79-6.88vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.23-5.75vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.65-4.38vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.21-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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6.45University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.86Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.33Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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9.45College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.32Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.19University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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10.37Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.14Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.27Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.12Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.25Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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11.62Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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13.08Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 17.9% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Eliza Richartz | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Corey Hall | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Haley Powell | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 11.2% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 14.9% |
| Erica Lush | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.