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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+6.82vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+3.44vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.36+2.33vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+4.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.06+4.64vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.52+5.40vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+5.16vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.07+1.40vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.56-6.33vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.43-1.63vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-6.64vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.80-1.64vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.56-1.82vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay0.56-2.82vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-5.97vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.48vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley1.53-8.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Hawaii2.360.1%1st Place
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8.27California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
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9.64University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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11.4Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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12.16University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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2.67Stanford University3.560.3%1st Place
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8.37University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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4.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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10.36University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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11.18California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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11.18California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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9.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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12.52California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 9.9% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smit | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Romain Screve | 34.2% | 23.3% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 15.4% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 27.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.