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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.42+5.26vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.34+4.80vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.79+5.75vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.48+2.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.00vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.68-0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.32+1.16vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+1.04vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.30+0.81vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-1.60vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.00+1.12vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.70+0.68vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-3.76vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.26-3.33vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College0.85-2.55vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.13-1.54vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.37-2.89vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.42-8.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Georgetown University2.429.7%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College2.348.9%1st Place
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8.75Cornell University1.795.4%1st Place
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6.08Harvard University2.4810.2%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.8%1st Place
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5.53Tulane University2.6813.2%1st Place
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8.16University of Miami2.326.8%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.584.5%1st Place
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9.81Webb Institute1.305.1%1st Place
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8.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.356.4%1st Place
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12.12Connecticut College1.002.2%1st Place
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12.68George Washington University0.701.8%1st Place
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9.24St. Mary's College of Maryland1.794.9%1st Place
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10.67Old Dominion University1.263.4%1st Place
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12.45Eckerd College0.852.4%1st Place
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14.46University of Wisconsin0.131.2%1st Place
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14.11Florida State University0.371.6%1st Place
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9.44University of Rhode Island1.424.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chase Decker | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Christian Ebbin | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Jasper Reid | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| William Hurd | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 8.3% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 11.7% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 29.8% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 26.7% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.