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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+3.66vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+5.39vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.00+7.10vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+5.23vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29+3.88vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.86+4.90vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.79+0.04vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.08+1.69vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.50-0.65vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-1.16vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.92-0.38vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.68-4.54vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.65-1.31vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.29-4.89vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.92-8.45vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.21-2.91vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.22-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.1Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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9.23Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.88University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.04Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.69Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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8.35Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.62Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.46Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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11.69Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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13.09Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.4College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 18.4% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Eliza Richartz | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Haley Powell | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 8.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 15.8% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Erica Lush | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 28.3% |
| Corey Hall | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.