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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+1.57vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+2.32vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53+4.90vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.80+6.51vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+3.05vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.18-0.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.43+1.32vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.56+3.09vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.28-3.53vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.53-2.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.06-1.55vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.07-2.53vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.56-1.91vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-4.99vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University0.52-3.82vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.46vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Stanford University3.560.4%1st Place
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4.32University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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10.51University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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8.05California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
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5.91University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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8.32University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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11.09California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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7.98University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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9.45University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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11.09California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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9.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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11.18Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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12.54California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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12.23University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 36.9% | 21.7% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 15.0% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smit | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.