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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+6.81vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+2.33vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.56-0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.18+1.93vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.28+0.60vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.06+3.58vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.56+4.23vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.80+2.28vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.56+2.23vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.43-1.79vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-2.92vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.95vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.52-1.71vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.53-6.10vs Predicted
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15University of Washington1.07-5.67vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.48vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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4.33University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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2.62Stanford University3.560.3%1st Place
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5.93University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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5.6University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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9.58University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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11.23California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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10.28University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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11.23California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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8.21University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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8.08California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
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9.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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11.29Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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7.9University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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12.52California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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12.25University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 15.5% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Romain Screve | 34.1% | 22.8% | 18.8% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smit | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 25.9% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.