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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+1.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+2.32vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.18+2.81vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+4.21vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.28+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.53+1.99vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.80+3.44vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.43-0.88vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.06-0.45vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.53-3.11vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.56-0.87vs Predicted
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13University of Washington1.07-3.54vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay0.56-2.87vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.15-2.66vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-3.76vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.52-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Stanford University3.560.4%1st Place
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4.32University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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5.81University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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8.21California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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10.44University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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9.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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9.55University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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11.13California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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11.13California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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12.34California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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12.24University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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11.43Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 35.6% | 23.0% | 17.2% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 16.0% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smit | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.