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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.43+7.08vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+7.35vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53+4.87vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.56-1.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.94vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.06+3.62vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.18-1.09vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-4.72vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-1.84vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.28-5.46vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.80-1.64vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.52-1.68vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay0.56-2.83vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-2.76vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay0.56-4.83vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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2.64Stanford University3.560.3%1st Place
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7.94University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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9.62University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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5.91University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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9.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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4.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
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8.16California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
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5.54University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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10.36University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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11.32Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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11.17California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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12.24University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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11.17California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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12.52California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Roudebush | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smit | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Romain Screve | 33.6% | 23.1% | 17.7% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 14.5% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 10.8% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 26.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.