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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+6.43vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.14+2.11vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.29vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+3.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.66+0.38vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.16+5.13vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.72-1.73vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.49vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.09+1.79vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.03+3.38vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-2.23vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.14-1.85vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.14-2.85vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.20-2.84vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-4.25vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.70vs Predicted
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17Stanford University1.60-11.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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4.11University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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4.29California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.2%1st Place
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7.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
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5.38University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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11.13University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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5.27University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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7.51University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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10.79University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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13.38University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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8.77University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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10.15California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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10.15California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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11.16Western Washington University-0.200.0%1st Place
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10.75University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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13.3California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.58Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 18.4% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 16.1% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 21.3% | 33.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Prewitt | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 19.9% | 31.3% | 0.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.