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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+6.13vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+6.59vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.68+1.95vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+3.92vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.48+0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.32+1.66vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.70+4.91vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.34-2.04vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.85+2.80vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+0.71vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.42-0.46vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.13+1.74vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.08+1.58vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.26-4.40vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.96-7.27vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.37-2.46vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.00-5.68vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-10.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Georgetown University2.207.4%1st Place
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8.59St. Mary's College of Maryland1.795.0%1st Place
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4.95Tulane University2.6814.3%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.586.0%1st Place
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5.61Harvard University2.4812.3%1st Place
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7.66University of Miami2.326.8%1st Place
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11.91George Washington University0.702.2%1st Place
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5.96Dartmouth College2.3411.9%1st Place
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11.8Eckerd College0.852.6%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.402.6%1st Place
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10.54University of Rhode Island1.423.8%1st Place
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13.74University of Wisconsin0.131.5%1st Place
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14.58Webb Institute-0.081.1%1st Place
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9.6Old Dominion University1.265.5%1st Place
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7.73Cornell University1.966.6%1st Place
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13.54Florida State University0.371.4%1st Place
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11.32Connecticut College1.002.5%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Santa Barbara1.356.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Christian Ebbin | 14.3% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% |
| Chase Decker | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 6.2% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Henry Lee | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 21.2% |
| Marc Leyk | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 17.9% | 31.5% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 17.0% |
| William Hurd | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Jasper Reid | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.