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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.67+6.29vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+2.70vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+6.24vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.86+6.78vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.00+4.94vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.79+1.21vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.22+2.28vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.68-0.71vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.92+1.76vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.65+1.40vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.29-1.79vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.92-5.46vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.50-4.72vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.08-3.99vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-6.09vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.29-6.98vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.21-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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4.7Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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9.24Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.94Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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7.21Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.28College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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7.29Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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10.76Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.4Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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9.21University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.28Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.01Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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13.12Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Anne Haeger | 17.2% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Corey Hall | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Maggie Shea | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Haley Powell | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 12.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Erica Lush | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.