← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.72+4.65vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+0.70vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University1.60+3.04vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+3.55vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington0.95+2.99vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley1.66-0.06vs Predicted
-
7University of Hawaii2.14-2.26vs Predicted
-
8California State University Monterey Bay0.14+2.37vs Predicted
-
9California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-4.18vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.89vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine-0.09+0.11vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay0.14-1.63vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-1.81vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University-0.20-2.56vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego-1.03-1.57vs Predicted
-
16University of Washington-0.16-4.53vs Predicted
-
17California State University Channel Islands-0.97-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.65University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
-
2.7University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.3%1st Place
-
6.04Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
-
7.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
-
7.99University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
-
5.94University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
-
4.74University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
-
10.37California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
-
4.82California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
-
8.11University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
-
11.11University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
-
10.37California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
-
11.19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
-
11.44Western Washington University-0.200.0%1st Place
-
13.43University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
-
11.47University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
-
13.45California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Chyz | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 33.8% | 22.7% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 12.7% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 11.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Prewitt | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 32.1% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 21.1% | 30.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.