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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.14+2.95vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.60+3.45vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.59+2.65vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.77+3.43vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.46+2.68vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.30+0.15vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.67+5.31vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.08-0.88vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.53+2.47vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.84-2.09vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.18-4.81vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.93+0.64vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-2.85vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.95-6.63vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.42-6.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Brown University2.1420.6%1st Place
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5.45Roger Williams University1.6011.8%1st Place
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5.65Yale University1.599.9%1st Place
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7.43Northeastern University0.776.1%1st Place
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7.68Salve Regina University0.465.3%1st Place
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6.15University of Rhode Island1.307.8%1st Place
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12.31Bates College-0.671.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University1.086.4%1st Place
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11.47McGill University-0.531.5%1st Place
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7.91University of Vermont0.846.2%1st Place
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6.19Tufts University1.189.2%1st Place
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12.64Salve Regina University-0.931.1%1st Place
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10.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.033.5%1st Place
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7.37Boston University0.955.2%1st Place
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8.51Fairfield University0.424.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 20.6% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Taboada | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 22.7% | 29.4% |
| Oliver Keeves | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 18.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 12.3% | 21.0% | 37.2% |
| Luke Kenahan | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 8.1% |
| Dylan Balunas | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.