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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.14+3.03vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.95+5.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.66+2.39vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+3.03vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.72+0.24vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.72vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.14+3.17vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-3.84vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-0.97+4.15vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.09+0.91vs Predicted
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11Stanford University1.60-5.47vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-1.20vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.16-1.98vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-5.33vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.14-4.83vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.03-2.59vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University-0.20-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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7.44University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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5.39University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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7.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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10.17California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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4.16California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.2%1st Place
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13.15California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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10.91University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.53Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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10.8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.67University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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10.17California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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13.41University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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11.33Western Washington University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Pacholski | 18.0% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 17.4% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 14.6% | 17.6% | 30.5% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 12.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 19.7% | 34.6% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Prewitt | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.